The method
LOPA (Layer of Protection Analysis) is a semi-quantitative method. It starts from a single scenario — one initiating event leading to one consequence — often taken from a HAZOP.
The initiating event frequency is multiplied by the probability of failure on demand (PFD) of each independent protection layer (IPL): alarm with operator response, relief valve, safety instrumented function, bund… The result is compared with a tolerable frequency set by the company.
Any gap shows the risk reduction required. LOPA is widely used to determine the safety integrity level (SIL) of a safety instrumented function under IEC 61511. The reference text is the CCPS book (2001).
When to use it
- After a HAZOP, for scenarios severe enough to require a numerical demonstration.
- To size a safety instrumented function (SIL selection).
- To choose between several possible barriers for one scenario.
Watch out for
- A layer only counts if it is independent of the initiating event and of other layers: the same sensor cannot be credited twice.
- Frequency and probability values must come from a consistent, documented database approved by the company.
- LOPA handles one scenario at a time; for complex combinations a fault tree is better suited.
Steps
- Select a scenario: one initiating event and one consequence.
- Set the initiating event frequency from documented data.
- Identify protection layers and keep only those that are independent, effective and auditable.
- Assign each layer its probability of failure and compute the resulting frequency, with any conditional modifiers (occupancy, ignition probability).
- Compare with the tolerable frequency; if exceeded, add or strengthen a layer, for example a safety instrumented function with a suitable SIL.
LOPA software
List from the Aurorisk catalogue, links checked on 2026-09-26. Confirmed free access is listed first; unknown information is labelled.
| Tool | Source · licence · access | Scope | Description |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kenexis Open-PHA ↗ | Commercial publisherFree | United States | HAZOP scenarios linked to LOPA scenarios. |
| Polyodos ↗ | Commercial publisherFree for teaching | International | HAZOP and LOPA with action tracking. |
| BakerRisk PHA-Tool ↗ | Commercial publisher | United States | Suite for facilitating PHA studies. |
Standards and references
- IEC 61882 — Études HAZOP
- CCPS — Layer of Protection Analysis (2001)
- IEC 61511 — Sécurité fonctionnelle des systèmes instrumentés de sécurité